Contas de energia vão subir mais de £200 por ano para milhões à medida que Ofgem aumenta o teto de preços

The US stock market has opened broadly flat. The blue chip S&P 500 index is up 0.03%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has ticked up 0.3%.

Oil is now hovering around the $95 mark, with Brent crude down about 4% to $95.70.

The US stock market will also open shortly – futures for the S&P 500 are pointing toward a 0.1% rise.

Axel Rudolph, of the broker IG, notes that oil prices are now around a five-week low.

Crude prices have tumbled to a five-week low as hopes grow that tensions in the Middle East may finally begin to ease. Reports from Iranian state television suggesting a potential agreement with the US could reopen shipping through the strait of Hormuz have given markets the clearest sign yet that the worst-case scenario for global energy supplies might be avoided.

After weeks of investors pricing in disruption and inflation risks, the sharp reversal in oil offers some welcome relief for equities and central banks alike, though markets will remain wary until concrete details of any agreement begin to emerge.â€

Iran's state TV is reporting that under a draft peace deal between Tehran and Washington, Iran would restore commercial shipping activity via the strait of Hormuz within a month and the US would withdraw military forces from Iran's vicinity and lift a naval blockade.

It also reported that the framework, which excludes military vessels, was not yet finalised and that Tehran would take no steps without “tangible verificationâ€, according to Reuters. Reports suggest that if a final agreement is reached within 60 days, it could be approved as a UN Security Council resolution.

Oil prices have dropped about 4% after Iranian state TV said Iran was committed to restoring the number of commercial transit ships through the strait of Hormuz to pre-war levels within one month.

Brent crude – the international benchmark for oil – dropped 4% to below $95 a barrel, before recovering slightly to $95.24 a barrel.

The US dollar has slipped 0.2% against a basket of other major currencies.

Flying Tiger is the latest retailer to be snapped up by Modella Capital, the British investment firm which already owns the former high street arm of WH Smith, now called TG Jones.

The Danish company, known for its cut-price homewares and craft kit, operates about 1,000 stores worldwide, including 80 in the UK, where it employs more than 1,000 people.

For the past year it has been controlled by its banks and management, which bought out the company in June.

Full story by my colleague Sarah Butler here:

Lidl has overtaken Morrisons to become the fifth largest grocer in Great Britain as its sales were powered ahead by households seeking to keep a lid on their weekly bills.

The German-owned discounter increased its sales by 8.8% year on year – making it the fastest-growing store-based grocer – to hit a record high market share of 8.6% over the 12 weeks to 17 May, according to figures from the market analysts Worldpanel by Numerator.

That compared with an 8.3% share for Morrisons in the period as the Bradford-based chain grew its sales by only 1.3% compared with a year earlier.

Lidl now sits behind the fellow German-owned discounter Aldi, which is the UK's fourth biggest supermarket. Aldi is less than one percentage point behind struggling Asda, where sales continue to fall back despite efforts at a turnaround.

Amazon has said it paid more than £1.3bn in direct tax in the UK in 2025, after making more than £30bn in revenue in the country last year.

Direct taxes paid by the company grew to more than £1.3bn, up more than 20% from about £1bn last year, it said. However, Amazon did not provide a breakdown of the different taxes it paid, such as corporation tax, national insurance and digital services tax.

Amazon employs more than 75,000 people in the UK, which makes it one of the biggest employers in the country – and means that it likely faced a significant rise in its employers' national insurance contributions, which increased last April.

The company said it collected and administered £5bn in taxes for the government through VAT, income tax and employee national insurance contributions. Last year was the first time it said its tax bill surpassed £1bn in the UK.

Hong Kong has overtaken Switzerland as the world's largest cross-border wealth hub for the first time, a report has found.

Cross-border wealth in the city in 2025 rose 10.7% to $2.9tn, according to Boston Consulting Group's 2026 Global Wealth Report, driven by investment from mainland China and a revival in its IPO market.

The gap between Hong Kong and Switzerland could hit almost $600bn by the end of the decade, BCG forecast.

In the UK, cross-border wealth grew 7% to around $1tn in 2025, but the report found that changes to non-dom rules and inheritance tax meant high net worth people were moving their money elsewhere. It expects growth will slow to around 5% by 2030.

Shares in AstraZeneca slipped 0.4% this morning after the US regulator extended its review period of its new cancer treatment, camizestrant.

It comes after its advisory panel voted against approving the medication last month.

AstraZeneca said on Wednesday that the US Food and Drug Administration had extended a decision data for the drug's approval as it reviews additional data provided by the company.

Investors think the drug could be a blockbuster product, with the potential for $5bn in peak annual sales.

Susan Galbraith, executive VP of the company's oncology and haematology R&D, said AstraZeneca was looking forward to continuing “dialogue with the FDA†to bring the drug to US patients as quickly as possible.

UK gilts are rebounding this morning, with the 10-year yield dropping by 4 basis points. (Gilt yields rise when prices fall).

Kathleen Brooks, of the broker XTB, says the yield is now down by 34 basis points since it peaked on 18th May at 5.17%.

There is a clear link between the oil price and UK yields, so when the price of oil dips it drags the yield lower with it. It may be ironic that UK yields are falling today even though the price cap on household energy bills is set to rise by 13% in July, the highest level in more than 2 years.

…So, why are bond yields not responding to this news? There are a few reasons. Firstly, the price cap is not rising as fast as it was in 2022 due to the increased use of renewable energy in the UK. Secondly, if there is a peace deal in the coming days, that includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz, then energy prices could fall further, which could limit further upside on energy bills in future. Added to this, although the rising price cap will put upward pressure on inflation, the second-round effects are likely to be minimal, since the UK economy is showing signs of weakness and the unemployment rate is rising.

After selling off earlier this month, UK gilts are attracting interest. This is being helped by a softer tone on fiscal rules and tax rises from Labour leadership hopeful, Andy Burnham, which has slightly reduced the political risk premium added to UK debt.

On top of this, former PM Tony Blair warned the Labour party to avoid a lurch to the left, stating what to many seems obvious, that a move to the left will not boost the party's chances at the next general election. Hard left Labour policies are seen as economically and fiscally destructive. Blair warned against tax rises and supported cutting the benefits bill. If Blair's suggestions can be translated into policy, this could add to gilts' attractiveness, but this is a big if.

Elsewhere this morning, some updates from Pets at Home and Hollywood Bowl.

Hollywood Bowl is the best performer across the FTSE this morning, with its shares up almost 12% after reporting sales growth even as consumers tighten their belts.

The bowling operator said the appeal of “affordable leisure†is strong in an uncertain environment for consumers. Its revenue grew 9.5% in the six months ended in March to £141.5m, compared with the same period last year.

Meanwhile Pets at Home has reported its annual pre-tax profit dropped 28.3% to £86.5m in the year ended on 26 March. But its numbers are in line with expectations, and the company has said its retail sales growth is accelerating and that it expects good growth from its vet business this year. Its shares are up by about 4%.